Title: Taming Uncertainty in a Complex World: The Rise of Uncertainty Quantification -- A Tutorial for Beginners
Abstract: In this talk we provide a tutorial about uncertainty quantification (UQ) for those who have no background but are interested in learning more about this area. The talk will exploit many elementary examples, which are understandable to graduate students and senior undergraduates, to present the ideas of UQ. Topics include characterizing uncertainties using information theory, UQ in linear and nonlinear dynamical systems, UQ via data assimilation, the role of uncertainty in diagnostics, and UQ in advancing efficient modeling. The surprisingly simple examples in each topic explain why and how UQ is essential. Both MATLAB and Python codes have been made available for these simple examples.